$10,000 → — · since launch
Just buying Bitcoin instead: —
How it works
The strategy has historical backtests. They do not establish future returns. This paper track records decisions as they happen, including losses and gaps in service.
No staring at screens, no panic. Six looks a day at the Bitcoin price — that’s the whole schedule.
The rules set a paper target: up to 100% long or 50% short. This track does not apply the old wallet or daily-loss gates.
The strategy can choose cash. If market data is missing, the record retains the last position until valid data returns.
Results follow saved decisions, with modeled fees and funding. Missed decisions during outages are not filled in afterward.
Lab notes
Most of what we test doesn’t work. Writing that down is the point — it’s how you know the scoreboard above is honest.
Strong older returns did not pass the final registered screen. Severe drawdowns and weaker recent comparisons close this strategy search.
Read the write-up →A controlled test links part of the apparent advantage to missing data. The strategy still faces deep drawdowns and unresolved data quality.
Read the write-up →One promising filter avoided a single losing trade. Nearby timing choices and multi-day pressure tests still failed to establish a dependable advantage over holding Bitcoin.
Read the write-up →Can you leverage the bot to get rich faster? We ran 11 years at 2x–10x, with real fees and funding, and tested stop-losses too. Leverage isn’t an edge — it’s a risk dial with a fuse on the end.
Read the write-up →The “23-bar bottom” is wrong — the bear is ~12 months. The 47/35/12 cycle is real, but only because it’s the halving clock, only fits two cycles, and only looks clean if you delete the 2020 crash.
Read the write-up →Negative funding, rising open interest, spot vs. futures — the flow-trading playbook, measured against years of real funding and open-interest data. The most-repeated signal pointed the wrong way.
Read the write-up →1,005 bullish engulfing candles, hammers, dojis, flags — measured against 11 years of data. The only real signal was the quietest thing on the chart.
Read the write-up →Four serious attempts to improve the strategy — cut costs, buy bottoms, fade the crowd. All four failed, including the one that looked like it doubled the money.
Read the write-up →Why we trust the process but not any single month — and why this site shows drawdowns first.
Read the write-up →